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Key themes for 2025: Riding the real estate recovery

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The painful reset of private real estate seems to be in the rearview mirror, and we expect 2025 to be a good vintage for real estate investment.

Our 2025 outlook highlights our top investment ideas and insights on the global need for housing, the strength of alternative property types, the rebirth of retail and the shifting nature of environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations.

Riding the real estate recovery

  • The last two years have been challenging for real estate due to rising interest rates and a market with more sellers than buyers
  • Global real estate values are showing signs of stabilizing, and total returns have ticked positive
  • All 21 countries in the MSCI Global Property Index experienced positive total returns for the quarter, the first time in two years
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Global opportunities

  • As 2024 came to a close, the global real estate market seemed to be turning a corner
  • Office markets remained the most challenged globally, but even within the sector we continue to see significant differentiation
  • In each region, country and property sector there are opportunities for savvy investors
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The next frontier: a global view on data centers

  • The global data surge has spurred a near insatiable demand for data center space
  • The global datasphere is projected to reach 181 zettabytes by 2025, nearly 12 times the size it was just 10 years earlier
  • As a result of a quickly reshaping landscape, we favor development in this sector versus a core strategy
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Alternatives in focus

  • Investors have increasingly turned towards alternative property types to generate diversification and outperformance
  • The U.S. population aged 75+ years is projected to increase from 8% today to 12% by 2040 which present an opportunity for U.S. medical office
  • Among the most popular alternative property investments in Europe is self-storage, which has benefited from cyclical and structural drivers post-pandemic
  • Japan is at the forefront of an aging population and remains the leading market for a senior living strategy
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Nuveen

Nuveen is the asset manager for TIAA, one of the world’s most highly rated and financially stable insurance companies1. We leverage our deep expertise in partnering with insurance clients to tailor capital-efficient solutions to meet complex portfolio construction needs. Our platform of $1.4 trillion in AUM2 offers differentiated investments across private credit and private equity, real assets, fixed income, and responsible investing focused strategies. For more information, please visit www.nuveen.com/insurance.

1. For its stability, claims-paying ability and overall financial strength, Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association of America (TIAA) is one of only three insurers in the United States to currently hold the highest rating available to U.S. insurers from three of the four leading insurance company rating agencies: A.M. Best (A++ as of July 2025), Fitch (AAA as of August 2025), Standard & Poor’s (AA+ as of November 2025), and the second highest possible rating from Moody’s Investors Service (Aa1 rating affirmed as of February 12, 2026). There is no guarantee that current ratings will be maintained. The financial strength ratings represent a company’s ability to meet policyholders’ obligations and do not apply to variable annuities or any other product or service not fully backed by TIAA’s claims-paying ability. The ratings also do not apply to the safety or the performance of the variable accounts, which will fluctuate in value.

2. Assets under management as of 31 Dec 2025. Nuveen assets under management (AUM) is inclusive of underlying investment specialists. Totals may not equal 100 % due to rounding.


Joseph Pursley, CIMA  
Head of Insurance, Americas  
Joseph.Pursley@Nuveen.com  
445-245-1063

Nuveen, a TIAA Company  
333 W. Wacker Drive  
Chicago, IL  60606

 

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